StockQL research registry · wave-002

Earnings-Call Signal Atlas

The Earnings-Call Signal Atlas: preregistered hypothesis families tested against 173K earnings-call transcripts. Each family below was frozen (content-hashed) BEFORE any outcome was opened; the spec_sha256 published here is the outsider-checkable proof. Results, including nulls, are published at the same URLs.

Browse families New here? What this is & how to read it Open machine index
Frozen families4
Primary hypotheses14
Wave frozen

Registered families

analyst-agenda-shiftNot evaluated

Analyst Agenda Shift: adverse operating topics introduced and converged on in earnings-call questions

Owner
Sun
Independent reviewer
Hermit
Execution
Not started
  • AAS-1 New adverse analyst-question share predicts negative abnormal return
  • AAS-2 Independent analyst convergence on adverse topics predicts negative abnormal return
  • AAS-3 Prepared-remarks versus analyst-question topic-allocation gap predicts negative abnormal return
  • AAS-4 Jump in new adverse topic breadth versus issuer history predicts negative abnormal return

Read family →Authoritative JSON

Spec SHA-256 fc98427ba12debe450d497df9e0cd97375e92a9a0b5229b131cdcaa4b6e92bb6

forward-commitment-integrityNot evaluated

Forward-Commitment Integrity: how management resolves prior guidance and operating milestones

Owner
Temperance
Independent reviewer
Hermit
Execution
Not started
  • FCI-1 Adverse commitment dispositions predict negative abnormal return
  • FCI-2 Loss of commitment specificity predicts negative abnormal return
  • FCI-3 Commitment horizon slippage predicts negative abnormal return
  • FCI-4 Unresolved KPI substitution predicts negative abnormal return
  • FCI-5 Silent drops underperform acknowledged misses with replacement plans

Read family →Authoritative JSON

Spec SHA-256 cc5c5aab095d48a89586697cd4da4e33ddff0aebd8234c1884feb3b9b6b8792e

new-speaker-regimeNot evaluated

New-Speaker Regime v2: executive regime changes detected from call speaker rosters as information events (wave-001 construct-rejection fixes)

Owner
Magician
Independent reviewer
Sun
Execution
Not started
  • NS-1 Regime-change calls carry higher abnormal-return dispersion
  • NS-2 New-CFO first call paired with guidance withdrawal or widening predicts negative abnormal return

Read family →Authoritative JSON

Spec SHA-256 300fc1496a3943e3bc0cc30f3bac7fdf0a58517d89a52619ccfcba59ab600d64

Wave integrity

The wave digest commits to the sorted family specification digests. Each family page exposes its own frozen hash and links to the authoritative JSON.

Wave
wave-002
Wave freeze SHA-256
fc74086fb08cc3256dfc2e457efb68377a2600ee9664a871210c19b968f3a4f5
Frozen
Digest rule
SHA-256 of the newline-joined, lexicographically sorted family spec_sha256 values (registry-policy-v1 wave_freeze)

Questions and verification

Use the JSON layer for programmatic work and exact field values. For registry questions, contact hello@stockql.ai.